Publications

Books:
Nuclear Posture and Nonproliferation Policy: Causes and Consequences for the Spread of Nuclear Weapons. Editor (with Neil Narang and Erik Gartzke) London: Routledge, 2015. url.

A Time to Attack: The Looming Iranian Nuclear Threat. New York: St. Martin's Press, 2014. url.

The Causes and Consequences of Nuclear Proliferation. Editor (with Robert Rauchhaus and Erik Gartzke) London: Routledge, 2011. url.

Exporting the Bomb: Technology Transfer and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons. Cornell Studies in Security Affairs. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. 2010. Honorable Mention, Best Book Award, International Studies Association. url.

The Handbook of National Legislatures: A Global Survey (with M. Steven Fish). New York: Cambridge University Press. 2009. url. data.

Articles:
“Reconceptualizing Nuclear Risks: Bringing Deliberate Nuclear Use Back In,” Comparative Strategy (with Rebecca Gibbons), forthcoming. pdf.

"NATO's Nuclear Deterrence: Closing Credibility Gaps," Polish Quarterly of International Affairs (with Jacek Durkalec) vol. 25, no. 1 (2016): 37-50. pdf.

  1. "Reaching beyond the Ivory Tower: A How-To Manual," Security Studies (With Daniel Byman), vol. 25 no. 2, 2016: 289-319. pdf.
  2. “Nukes with Numbers: Empirical Research on the Consequences of Nuclear Weapons for International Conflict,” Annual Review of Political Science (with Erik Gartzke), Vol 19, 2016: 397-412. pdf.

"U.S. Nuclear Weapons and Nonproliferation: Is there a Link?" Journal of Peace Research, March 2016: 166-179. pdf.

"3-D Printing the Bomb? The Nuclear Nonproliferation Challenge."The Washington Quarterly (with Tristan Volpe), Fall 2015, 7-19. pdf.

  1. "How to Walk Away from the Iran Talks," National Review Online (with Jamil Jaffer) July 8, 2015. url.

"How China Could Become More Competitive," The Wall Street Journal, June 24, 2015. url.

"Why Democracies Dominate: America's Edge over China," The National Interest 138 July/August 2015: 38-46. pdf.

"Why Is Obama Abandoning 70 Years of U.S. Nonproliferation Policy?" Tablet, June 15, 2015. url.

“How to Approach Nuclear Modernization: A U.S. Response,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 71, May/June 2015: 16-18. pdf.

"Forum: NATO and Russia," Survival (with Steven Pifer, Lukasz Kulesa, Egon Bahr, Götz Neuneck, Mikhail Troitskiy) 57, 2, April/May 2015: 119-144. pdf.

"A Nuclear Turning Point," The Weekly Standard, April 20, 2015. url.

“Facing Reality: Getting NATO Ready for a New Cold War,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 57, 1, February/March 2015: 49-70. pdf.

“Stability before Disarmament,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists online, February 13, 2015. url.

“Tinkering Won’t Produce Disarmament,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists online, January 23, 2015. url.

“Why U.S. Nuclear Modernization Is Necessary,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists online, January 8, 2015. url.

“How the New GOP Congress Can Make a Good Iran Deal Possible,” National Review online, January 6, 2015. url.

“The History of Proliferation Optimism: Does it have a Future?” Journal of Strategic Studies 38, 1, 2 2015: 98-125. pdf.

“Apply More Pressure on Iran,” USA Today, November 25, 2014. url.

“Review of Outlier States: American Strategies to Change, Contain, or Engage Regimes by Robert Litwak,” Political Science Quarterly 129: 2, Summer 2014: 337-339. url.

"A Nuclear Deal with Iran: The Proliferation Challenge." (with Barry Pavel) The National Interest online, July 1, 2014. url.

“Force or Friendship? Explaining Great Power Nonproliferation Policy,” Security Studies, 23, 1, 2014: 1-32. pdf.

"The Case for Using Statistics to Study Nuclear Security." (with Matthew Fuhrmann and Todd Secsher) H-Diplo/ISFF Forum on "What We Talk about When We Talk about Nuclear Weapons." No. 2. (2014). 37-54. pdf.

"A Superior Theory of Superiority." H-Diplo/ISFF Forum on "What We Talk about When We Talk about Nuclear Weapons." No. 2. (2014). 63-65. pdf.

"Would Obama Bomb Iran?" The Spectator, May 2014. url.

“Nuclear Posture, Nonproliferation Policy, and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons,” (with Erik Gartzke) Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58, 3, April 2014. pdf.

“Still Time to Attack Iran,” Foreign Affairs online, January 8, 2014. url. Reprinted in Gideon Rose, ed., Iran and the Bomb2: A New Hope (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2014). url.

“Matthew Kroenig Replies,” Foreign Policy, November/December 2013: 11. pdf.

“Now for the Hard Part,” Foreign Policy online, November 25, 2013. url.

“Think Again: American Nuclear Disarmament,” Foreign Policy, September/October 2013: 46-49. pdf.

“The Case for Overkill,” Foreign Policy online, June 19, 2013. url.

“Iran Diplomatic Window Rapidly Closing,” USA Today, June 17, 2013.

“Review of Achieving Nuclear Ambitions and Sanctions, Statecraft, and Nuclear Proliferation,” Perspectives on Politics 11:2, June 2013: 698-700. pdf.

“Iranian Nukes and Global Oil,” The American Interest 8, 4, March/April 2013: 41-47. pdf.

“Nuclear Superiority and the Balance of Resolve: Explaining Nuclear Crisis Outcomes,” International Organization 67:1, January 2013: 141-171. pdf. appendix. data.

“Review of The Handbook of National Legislatures: A Response to Desposato,” (with M. Steven Fish) Legislative Studies Quarterly 37:3, August 2012: 397-401. pdf.

“Obama Needs to Tell Iran where He Draws the Line,” The Washington Post, May 19, 2012. url.

“How to Deter Terrorism,” (with Barry Pavel) The Washington Quarterly, 35:2, Spring 2012: 21-36. pdf.

“Our Options for Dealing with Iran,” The New York Times, January 24, 2012. url.

“Time to Attack Iran: Why a Strike Is the Least Bad Option,” Foreign Affairs January/February 2012: 76-86. pdf. Selected "Best of Print in 2012" by Foreign Affairs' Editors.

“Unilaterally Assured Destruction,” Foreign Policy Online, September 9, 2011 (with Barry Pavel). url.

“Nuclear Zero? Why Not Nuclear Infinity?” The Wall Street Journal, July 30, 2011. url.

“Conceptualizing and Measuring Democracy: A New Approach,” (with Michael Coppedge, John Gerring, David Altman, Michael Bernhard, M. Steven Fish, Allen Hicken, Staffan Lindberg, Kelly McMann, Pamela Paxton, Holli Semetko, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrety Staton, and Jan Teorell), Perspectives on Politics 9: 2, June 2011: 247-267. pdf.

“Taking Soft Power Seriously,” (with Melissa McAdam and Steven Weber), Comparative Strategy, 29:5, November 2010: 412-431. pdf.

“Correspondence: Civilian Nuclear Cooperation and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons,” (with Christopher Bluth, Rensselear Lee, William C. Sailor, and Matthew Fuhrmann), International Security, 35:1, Summer 2010: 184-200. pdf.

“Bombs Away,” The New Republic online, February 9, 2010. url.

“Look at the Bright Side,” USA Today, May 28, 2009. url.

“A Strategic Approach to Nuclear Proliferation,” (with Erik Gartzke), Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53: 2, April 2009:151-160. pdf.

“Importing the Bomb: Sensitive Nuclear Assistance and Nuclear Proliferation,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53: 2, April 2009: 161-180. Reprinted in Robert Rauchhaus, Matthew Kroenig, and Erik Gartzke, eds. The Causes and Consequences of Nuclear Proliferation. London: Routledge, 2011. pdf. data.

Review of The Nuclear Taboo: The United States and the Nonuse of Nuclear Weapons Since 1945, by Nina Tannenwald, Perspectives on Politics, 7:1, March 2009: 230-231. pdf.

“Exporting the Bomb: Why States Provide Sensitive Nuclear Assistance,” American Political Science Review, 103:1, February 2009: 113-133. Reprinted in Zhu Liqun, Gary Bertsch, and Lu Jing, eds. International Non-proliferation System: China and the U.S. Beijing: World Affairs Press, 2011. (Mandarin). pdf. data.

“Kenya's Real Problem (It's Not Ethnic),” (With M. Steven Fish) The Washington Post, January 9, 2008. url.

“How Globalization Went Bad,” (with Steven Weber, Naazneen Barma, and Ely Ratner) Foreign Policy, January/February 2007: 48-54. Reprinted in Richard W. Mansbach and Edward Rhodes, eds., Global Politics in a Changing World, 4th edition (New York: Wadsworth Publishing, 2008). Reprinted in James E. Harf and Mark Owen Lombardi, eds., Taking Sides: Clashing Views on Global Issues (New York: Mcgraw Hill, 2009). pdf.

      “Diversity, Conflict, and Democracy: Some Evidence from Eurasia and East Europe,” (with M. Steven Fish) Democratization, 13:5, December 2006: 828-842. pdf. data.

      “War Makes the State, but Not as It Pleases: Homeland Security and American Anti-Statism,” (with Jay Stowsky) Security Studies, 15:2, April-June 2006: 225-270. pdf.

      “Sticks and Straws,” Letter to the Editor, Foreign Affairs,84:2 (July/August 2005). url.

    “Aiming to Keep Faith and Egomania in Check,” (with M. Steven Fish) Newsday, March 14, 2004.

Book Chapters:
“The Nuclear Renaissance, Sensitive Nuclear Assistance, and Nuclear Proliferation,” in Adam Stulberg and Matthew Fuhrmann, eds. The Nuclear Renaissance and International Security (Palo Alto: Stanford University Press, 2013). pdf.

“Israel’s Military Option,” in Robert Blackwill ed. Iran: The Nuclear Challenge (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2012). url.

Think Tank Reports:

"Approaching Critical Mass: Asia's Multipolar Nuclear Future," The National Bureau of Asian Research, June 2016. pdf.

"The Renewed Russian Nuclear Threat and NATO Nuclear Deterrence Posture," The Atlantic Council, February 2016. pdf.

"Mitigating the Security Risks Posed by a Near-Nuclear Iran," The Atlantic Council, November 2014. pdf.

"Why Nuclear Deterrence Still Matters to NATO," (with Walter Slocombe) The Atlantic Council, August 2014. pdf.